Global warming/Bibliography: Difference between revisions

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imported>Gareth Leng
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In 2009, a  book defending the skeptical view was published by the [[Heartland Institute]],<ref>S. Fred Singer and Craig Idso, [http://www.nipccreport.org/index.html Climate Change Reconsidered ''Climate Change Reconsidered'']  Heartland Institute, June 2009,  ISBN-13 – 978-1-934791-28-8, (The Heartland Institute takes a partisan position against what they call "myths of global warming").   
In 2009, a  book defending the skeptical view was published by the [[Heartland Institute]],<ref>S. Fred Singer and Craig Idso, [http://www.nipccreport.org/index.html Climate Change Reconsidered ''Climate Change Reconsidered'']  Heartland Institute, June 2009,  ISBN-13 – 978-1-934791-28-8, (The Heartland Institute takes a partisan position against what they call "myths of global warming").   


<div class="references-small">
*{{cite journal
*{{cite journal
  | last = Amstrup | first=Steven C.
  | last = Amstrup | first=Steven C.
  | coauthors = [[Ian Stirling]], Tom S. Smith, Craig Perham, Gregory W. Thiemann
  | coauthors = ''et al.''
  | date = [[2006-04-27]]
  | date = [[2006-04-27]]
  | title = Recent observations of intraspecific predation and cannibalism among polar bears in the southern Beaufort Sea
  | title = Recent observations of intraspecific predation and cannibalism among polar bears in the southern Beaufort Sea
Line 32: Line 30:
*{{cite journal
*{{cite journal
  | last= Behrenfeld | first= Michael J.
  | last= Behrenfeld | first= Michael J.
  | coauthors = Robert T. O'Malley, David A. Siegel, Charles R. McClain, Jorge L. Sarmiento, Gene C. Feldman, Allen G. Milligan, Paul G. Falkowski, Ricardo M. Letelier, Emanuel S. Boss
  | coauthors = ''et al.''
  | date = [[2006-12-07]]
  | date = [[2006-12-07]]
  | title = Climate-driven trends in contemporary ocean productivity
  | title = Climate-driven trends in contemporary ocean productivity
Line 83: Line 81:
  | last=Hansen | first=James
  | last=Hansen | first=James
  | authorlink=James Hansen
  | authorlink=James Hansen
  | coauthors=Larissa Nazarenko, Reto Ruedy, Makiko Sato, Josh Willis, Anthony Del Genio, Dorothy Koch, Andrew Lacis, Ken Lo, Surabi Menon, Tica Novakov, Judith Perlwitz, Gary Russell, [[Gavin A. Schmidt]], Nicholas Tausnev
  | coauthors=''et al.''
  | date= [[2005-06-03]]
  | date= [[2005-06-03]]
  | title=Earth's Energy Imbalance: Confirmation and Implications
  | title=Earth's Energy Imbalance: Confirmation and Implications
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*{{cite journal
*{{cite journal
  | last= Hinrichs | first= Kai-Uwe
  | last= Hinrichs | first= Kai-Uwe
  | coauthors=Laura R. Hmelo, Sean P. Sylva
  | coauthors=''et al.''
  | date=[[2003-02-21]]
  | date=[[2003-02-21]]
  | title = Molecular Fossil Record of Elevated Methane Levels in Late Pleistocene Coastal Waters
  | title = Molecular Fossil Record of Elevated Methane Levels in Late Pleistocene Coastal Waters
  | journal = [[Science (journal)|Science]]
  | journal = [[Science (journal)|Science]]
  | volume = 299
  | volume = 299
| issue = 5610
  | pages = 1214–1217
  | pages = 1214–1217
  | doi= 10.1126/science.1079601
  | doi= 10.1126/science.1079601
Line 112: Line 109:
*{{cite journal
*{{cite journal
  | last = Hoyt | first = Douglas V.
  | last = Hoyt | first = Douglas V.
  | coauthors = Kenneth H. Schatten
  | coauthors = Kenneth H. Schatten| year = 1993| title = A discussion of plausible solar irradiance variations, 1700&ndash;1992
| year = 1993–11
  | journal = J Geophys Res|volume = 98 | pages = 18,895–18,906 | url = http://adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-bib_query?bibcode=1993JGR....9818895H&amp;db_key=AST&amp;data_type=HTML&amp;format=&amp;high=448f267ff303582 }}
| title = A discussion of plausible solar irradiance variations, 1700&ndash;1992
  | journal = [[Journal of Geophysical Research]]
| volume = 98 | issue = A11 | pages = 18,895–18,906
| url = http://adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-bib_query?bibcode=1993JGR....9818895H&amp;db_key=AST&amp;data_type=HTML&amp;format=&amp;high=448f267ff303582
}}
*{{cite book
*{{cite book
  | last = Kenneth | first = James P.
  | last = Kenneth| first = JP|coauthors = ''et al.''| year = [[2003-02-14]] | title = Methane Hydrates in Quaternary Climate Change: The Clathrate Gun Hypothesis|publisher = [[American Geophysical Union]] | url = https://www.agu.org/cgi-bin/agubooks?book=ASSP0542960 }}
| coauthors = Kevin G. Cannariato, Ingrid L. Hendy, Richard J. Behl
| year = [[2003-02-14]]
| title = Methane Hydrates in Quaternary Climate Change: The Clathrate Gun Hypothesis
| publisher = [[American Geophysical Union]]
| url = https://www.agu.org/cgi-bin/agubooks?book=ASSP0542960
}}
*{{cite news  
*{{cite news  
  | last = Keppler | first = Frank
  | last = Keppler| first = F| coauthors = ''et al.''|title = Global Warming - The Blame Is not with the Plants
| coauthors = Marc Brass, Jack Hamilton, Thomas Röckmann
  | url = http://www.mpg.de/english/illustrationsDocumentation/documentation/pressReleases/2006/pressRelease200601131/index.html | publisher = [[Max Planck Society]] | date = 2006}}
| title = Global Warming - The Blame Is not with the Plants
*{{cite journal | author = Kurzweil, R | authorlink = Raymond Kurzweil | year = 2006–07 | title = Nanotech Could Give Global Warming a Big Chill | journal = Forbes / Wolfe Nanotech Report | volume = 5  | url = http://www.qsinano.com/pdf/ForbesWolfe_NanotechReport_July2006.pdf }}
  | url = http://www.mpg.de/english/illustrationsDocumentation/documentation/pressReleases/2006/pressRelease200601131/index.html
| publisher = [[Max Planck Society]]
| date = [[2006-01-18]]
}}
*{{cite journal
| author = Kurzweil, Raymond
| authorlink = Raymond Kurzweil
| year = 2006–07
| title = Nanotech Could Give Global Warming a Big Chill
| journal = Forbes / Wolfe Nanotech Report
| volume = 5 | issue = 7
  | url = http://www.qsinano.com/pdf/ForbesWolfe_NanotechReport_July2006.pdf
| format = [[Portable Document Format|PDF]]
}}
*{{cite journal
*{{cite journal
  | title = The effect of increasing solar activity on the Sun's total and open magnetic flux during multiple cycles: Implications for solar forcing of climate
  | title = The effect of increasing solar activity on the Sun's total and open magnetic flux during multiple cycles: Implications for solar forcing of climate
  | last = Lean | first = Judith L.
  | last = Lean | first = JL | coauthors = ''et al.'' | year = 2002 | journal = Geophys Res Lett| volume = 29 |  | url = http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2002GeoRL..29x..77L }}
| coauthors = Y.M. Wang, N.R. Sheeley
| year = 2002–12
| journal = [[Geophysical Research Letters]]
| volume = 29 | issue = 24 |
  | url = http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2002GeoRL..29x..77L
| doi = 10.1029/2002GL015880
}}
*{{cite book
*{{cite book
  | last = Lerner | first = K. Lee
  | last = Lerner | first = KL | coauthors = Brenda Wilmoth Lerner | title = Environmental issues : essential primary sources | publisher = [[Thomson Gale]]| date = 2006 | isbn = 1414406258 }}
| coauthors = Brenda Wilmoth Lerner
*{{cite journal | last = McLaughlin | first = JB | coauthors = ''et al.'' |title = Outbreak of Vibrio parahaemolyticus gastroenteritis associated with Alaskan oysters | journal = [[New England Journal of Medicine]] | volume = 353 | pages = 1463&ndash;1470 | publisher = New England Medical Society | date = 2005 | url = http://content.nejm.org/cgi/content/abstract/353/14/1463
| title = Environmental issues : essential primary sources.
| publisher = [[Thomson Gale]]
| date = [[2006-07-26]]
| isbn = 1414406258
}}
*{{cite journal
| last = McLaughlin | first = Joseph B.
| coauthors = Angelo DePaola, Cheryl A. Bopp, Karen A. Martinek, Nancy P. Napolilli, Christine G. Allison, Shelley L. Murray, Eric C. Thompson, Michele M. Bird, John P. Middaugh
| title = Outbreak of Vibrio parahaemolyticus gastroenteritis associated with Alaskan oysters
| journal = [[New England Journal of Medicine]]
| volume = 353 | issue = 14 | pages = 1463&ndash;1470
| publisher = New England Medical Society
| date = [[2005-10-06]]
| url = http://content.nejm.org/cgi/content/abstract/353/14/1463
  }}''(online version requires registration)''
  }}''(online version requires registration)''
*{{cite journal
*{{cite journal | last = Muscheler, R | coauthors = ''et al.'' | date = 2005 | title = Climate: How unusual is today's solar activity? | journal = Nature| volume = 436 | pages = 1084–1087 | url = http://www.cgd.ucar.edu/ccr/raimund/publications/Muscheler_et_al_Nature2005.pdf }}
| last = Muscheler, Raimund
*{{cite journal | last = Oerlemans | first = J | date = 2005 | title = Extracting a Climate Signal from 169 Glacier Records | journal = Science | volume = 308 |pages = 675–7 | url=http://www.cosis.net/abstracts/EGU05/04572/EGU05-J-04572.pdf }}
| coauthors = Fortunat Joos, Simon A. Müller, Ian Snowball
*{{cite journal | last = Oreskes | first = N | authorlink=Naomi Oreskes | date = 2004 | title = Beyond the Ivory Tower: The Scientific Consensus on Climate Change | journal = Science | volume = 306 | pages = 1686 | url = http://www.sciencemag.org/cgi/reprint/306/5702/1686.pdf }}
| date = [[2005-07-28]]
*{{cite journal | last = Purse | first = BV | coauthors = ''et al.'' | title = Climate change and the recent emergence of bluetongue in Europe | journal = Nature Reviews Microbiology | volume = 3 | issue = 2 | pages = 171&ndash;181 | date = 2005 | url=http://www.nature.com/nrmicro/journal/v3/n2/abs/nrmicro1090_fs.html }}
| title = Climate: How unusual is today's solar activity?
*{{cite news | last = Revkin | first = AC | date = 2005 | title = Rise in Gases Unmatched by a History in Ancient Ice
| journal = [[Nature (journal)|Nature]]
  | publisher = [[The New York Times]] | url = http://www.nytimes.com/2005/11/25/science/earth/25core.html?ei=5090&en=d5078e33050b2b0c&ex=1290574800&adxnnl=1&partner=rssuserland&emc=rss }}
| volume = 436 | issue = 7012 | pages = 1084–1087
*{{cite book | last = Ruddiman | first = WF | authorlink=William Ruddiman | date = 2005 | title = Earth's Climate Past and Future | location = New York | publisher = [[Princeton University Press]] | isbn = 0-7167-3741-8
| url = http://www.cgd.ucar.edu/ccr/raimund/publications/Muscheler_et_al_Nature2005.pdf
  | url = http://www.whfreeman.com/ruddiman/}}
| format = [[Portable Document Format|PDF]]
*{{cite book | last = Ruddiman | first = WF | authorlink=William Ruddiman | date = 2005 | title = Plows, Plagues, and Petroleum: How Humans Took Control of Climate | location = New Jersey | publisher = [[Princeton University Press]] | isbn = 0-691-12164-8 }}
| doi = 10.1038/nature04045
*{{cite journal | last = Schneider | first = SH | coauthors = ''et al.'' | date = 2010 | title = Assessing key vulnerabilities and the risk from climate change | journal = [[IPCC]] | pages = 779-810 | url = http://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/ar4/wg2/en/ch19.html }}
}}
*{{cite journal | last = Solanki | first = SK | authorlink=Sami Solanki | coauthors = ''et al.'' | date = 2004 | title = Unusual activity of the Sun during recent decades compared to the previous 11,000 years. | journal = Nature
*{{cite journal
  | volume = 431 | pages = 1084&ndash;1087 | url = http://cc.oulu.fi/%7Eusoskin/personal/nature02995.pdf }}
| last = Oerlemans | first = J.
*{{cite journal | last = Solanki | first = SK | authorlink=Sami Solanki | coauthors = ''et al.'' | date = 2005 | title = Climate: How unusual is today's solar activity? (Reply) | journal = Nature | pages = E4-E5 | url = http://cc.oulu.fi/%7Eusoskin/personal/sola_nature05.pdf
| date = [[2005-04-29]]
*{{cite journal | last = Sowers | first = T | date = 2006 | journal = Science | volume = 311| pages = 838&ndash;40
| title = Extracting a Climate Signal from 169 Glacier Records
  | title = Late Quaternary Atmospheric CH<sub>4</sub> Isotope Record Suggests Marine Clathrates Are Stable}}
| journal = [[Science (journal)|Science]]
*{{cite journal | last = Svensmark | first = H | authorlink=Henrik Svensmark | coauthors = ''et al.'' | year = 2007 | title = Experimental evidence for the role of ions in particle nucleation under atmospheric conditions | journal = Proc R Soc A | volume = 463 | pages = 385–96 | publisher = FirstCite Early Online Publishing
| volume = 308 | issue = 5722 | pages = 675–677
| url=http://www.cosis.net/abstracts/EGU05/04572/EGU05-J-04572.pdf
| format = [[Portable Document Format|PDF]]
| doi = 10.1126/science.1107046
}}
*{{cite journal
| last = Oreskes | first = Naomi
| authorlink=Naomi Oreskes
| date = [[2004-12-03]]
| title = Beyond the Ivory Tower: The Scientific Consensus on Climate Change
| journal = [[Science (journal)|Science]]
| volume = 306 | issue = 5702 | pages = 1686
| url = http://www.sciencemag.org/cgi/reprint/306/5702/1686.pdf
| format = [[Portable Document Format|PDF]]
| doi = 10.1126/science.1103618
}}
*{{cite journal
| last = Purse | first = Bethan V.
| coauthors = Philip S. Mellor, David J. Rogers, Alan R. Samuel, Peter P. C. Mertens, Matthew Baylis
| title = Climate change and the recent emergence of bluetongue in Europe
| journal = [[Nature Reviews Microbiology]]
| volume = 3 | issue = 2 | pages = 171&ndash;181
| date = February 2005
| doi = 10.1038/nrmicro1090
| url=http://www.nature.com/nrmicro/journal/v3/n2/abs/nrmicro1090_fs.html
}}
*{{cite news
| last = Revkin | first = Andrew C
| date = [[2005-11-05]]
| title = Rise in Gases Unmatched by a History in Ancient Ice
  | publisher = [[The New York Times]]
| url = http://www.nytimes.com/2005/11/25/science/earth/25core.html?ei=5090&en=d5078e33050b2b0c&ex=1290574800&adxnnl=1&partner=rssuserland&emc=rss
}}
*{{cite book
| last = Ruddiman | first = William F.
| authorlink=William Ruddiman
| date = [[2005-12-15]]
| title = Earth's Climate Past and Future
| location = New York
| publisher = [[Princeton University Press]]
| isbn = 0-7167-3741-8
  | url = http://www.whfreeman.com/ruddiman/
}}
*{{cite book
| last = Ruddiman | first = William F.
| authorlink=William Ruddiman
| date = [[2005-08-01]]
| title = Plows, Plagues, and Petroleum: How Humans Took Control of Climate
| location = New Jersey
| publisher = [[Princeton University Press]]
| isbn = 0-691-12164-8
}}
*{{cite journal
| last = Schneider | first = S.H.
| coauthors = S. Semenov, A. Patwardhan, I. Burton, C.H.D. Magadza, M. Oppenheimer, A.B. Pittock, A. Rahman, J.B. Smith, A. Suarez, F. Yamin
| date = [[2010-04-24]]
| title = Assessing key vulnerabilities and the risk from climate change
| journal = [[IPCC]]
| pages = 779-810
| url = http://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/ar4/wg2/en/ch19.html
}}
*{{cite journal
| last = Solanki | first = Sami K.
| authorlink=Sami Solanki
| coauthors = I.G. Usoskin, B. Kromer, M. Schussler, J. Beer
| date = [[2004-10-23]]
| title = Unusual activity of the Sun during recent decades compared to the previous 11,000 years.
| journal = [[Nature (journal)|Nature]]
  | volume = 431 | pages = 1084&ndash;1087
| url = http://cc.oulu.fi/%7Eusoskin/personal/nature02995.pdf
| format = [[Portable Document Format|PDF]]
| doi = 10.1038/nature02995
}}
*{{cite journal
| last = Solanki | first = Sami K.
| authorlink=Sami Solanki
| coauthors = I. G. Usoskin, B. Kromer, M. Schüssler, J. Beer
| date = [[2005-07-28]]
| title = Climate: How unusual is today's solar activity? (Reply)
| journal = [[Nature (journal)|Nature]]
| volume = 436
| pages = E4-E5
| url = http://cc.oulu.fi/%7Eusoskin/personal/sola_nature05.pdf
| format = [[Portable Document Format|PDF]]
| doi = 10.1038/nature04046
}}
*{{cite journal
| last = Sowers | first = Todd
| date = [[2006-02-10]]
| journal = Science
| volume = 311 | issue = 5762 | pages = 838&ndash;840
  | title = Late Quaternary Atmospheric CH<sub>4</sub> Isotope Record Suggests Marine Clathrates Are Stable
| doi = 10.1126/science.1121235
}}
*{{cite journal
| last = Svensmark | first = Henrik
| authorlink=Henrik Svensmark
| coauthors = Jens Olaf P. Pedersen, Nigel D. Marsh, Martin B. Enghoff, Ulrik I. Uuggerhøj
| year = [[2007-02-08]]
| title = Experimental evidence for the role of ions in particle nucleation under atmospheric conditions
| journal = [[Proceedings of the Royal Society]] A
| volume = 463 | issue = 2078 | pages = 385–396
| publisher = FirstCite Early Online Publishing
| doi = 10.1098/rspa.2006.1773
  }}''(online version requires registration)''
  }}''(online version requires registration)''
*{{cite journal
*{{cite journal | last = Walter | first = KM | coauthors = ''et al.'' | date = 2006 | title = Methane bubbling from Siberian thaw lakes as a positive feedback to climate warming| journal =Nature | volume = 443 | pages = 71–75 }}
| last = Walter | first = K. M.
*{{cite journal | last = Wang | first = Y-M| coauthors = ''et al.''| date = 2005 | title = Modeling the sun's magnetic field and irradiance since 1713| journal = Astrophys J | volume = 625 | pages = 522–38| url = http://climatesci.colorado.edu/publications/pdf/Wang_2005.pdf}}
| coauthors = S. A. Zimov, Jeff P. Chanton, D. Verbyla, [[F. Stuart Chapin III|F. S. Chapin]]
| date = [[2006-09-07]]
| title = Methane bubbling from Siberian thaw lakes as a positive feedback to climate warming
| journal = [[Nature (journal)|Nature]]
| volume = 443 | issue = 7107 | pages = 71–75
| doi = 10.1038/nature05040
}}
*{{cite journal
| last = Wang | first = Y.-M.
| coauthors = J.L. Lean, N.R. Sheeley
| date = [[2005-05-20]]
| title = Modeling the sun's magnetic field and irradiance since 1713
| journal = [[Astrophysical Journal]]
| volume = 625 | pages = 522–538
| url = http://climatesci.colorado.edu/publications/pdf/Wang_2005.pdf
| format = [[Portable Document Format|PDF]]
| doi = 10.1086/429689
}}
</div>


*http://www.aps.org/units/fps/newsletters/200807/monckton.cfm ''Climate Sensitivity Reconsidered''], Christopher Monckton of Brenchley, Forum on Physics & Society of the American Physical Society, July 2008. Here, [[Christopher Monckton, 3rd Viscount Monckton of Brenchley |Christopher Monckton]], a critic of anthropogenic causes of global warming, takes issue with the 2007 IPCC report. Monckton is a British journalist and  was  assisted during the preparation of his APS Forum contribution by physicists, meteorologists and others at Harvard University and Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Imperial College (London, England), St. Andrews University (Scotland) and other universities. The major point made by Monckton is that the IPCC's estimated climate sensitivity of 3.26 °C is much too high. Using the same methodology and the same physical effect parameters as did the IPCC, but estimating his own values of those parameters, Monckton obtains a climate sensitivity of 0.58 °C. In other words, Monckton predicts that when the atmospheric CO<sub>2</sub> concentration reaches 556 ppm (expected later this century), the Earth's surface temperature will be only 0.58 °C higher than it was in 1750.Monckton documents and references his calculations in much detail. Although Monckton is a journalist, and his calculations include numerous arbitrary assumptions (such as reducing widely accepted values of certain parameters by an assumed factor of three), his work should not be discounted simply because it appeared only in the APS's Forum (that is not peer-reviewed).  Monckton's short article summarizes  ideas current among the climate skeptics.
*http://www.aps.org/units/fps/newsletters/200807/monckton.cfm ''Climate Sensitivity Reconsidered''], Christopher Monckton of Brenchley, Forum on Physics & Society of the American Physical Society, July 2008. Here, [[Christopher Monckton, 3rd Viscount Monckton of Brenchley |Christopher Monckton]], a critic of anthropogenic causes of global warming, takes issue with the 2007 IPCC report. Monckton is a British journalist and  was  assisted during the preparation of his APS Forum contribution by physicists, meteorologists and others at Harvard University and Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Imperial College (London, England), St. Andrews University (Scotland) and other universities. The major point made by Monckton is that the IPCC's estimated climate sensitivity of 3.26 °C is much too high. Using the same methodology and the same physical effect parameters as did the IPCC, but estimating his own values of those parameters, Monckton obtains a climate sensitivity of 0.58 °C. In other words, Monckton predicts that when the atmospheric CO<sub>2</sub> concentration reaches 556 ppm (expected later this century), the Earth's surface temperature will be only 0.58 °C higher than it was in 1750.Monckton documents and references his calculations in much detail. Although Monckton is a journalist, and his calculations include numerous arbitrary assumptions (such as reducing widely accepted values of certain parameters by an assumed factor of three), his work should not be discounted simply because it appeared only in the APS's Forum (that is not peer-reviewed).  Monckton's short article summarizes  ideas current among the climate skeptics.

Revision as of 08:12, 10 February 2011

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A list of key readings about Global warming.
Please sort and annotate in a user-friendly manner. For formatting, consider using automated reference wikification.

In 2009, a book defending the skeptical view was published by the Heartland Institute,<ref>S. Fred Singer and Craig Idso, Climate Change Reconsidered Climate Change Reconsidered Heartland Institute, June 2009, ISBN-13 – 978-1-934791-28-8, (The Heartland Institute takes a partisan position against what they call "myths of global warming").

(online version requires registration)

  • {{cite journal | last = Solanki | first = SK | authorlink=Sami Solanki | coauthors = et al. | date = 2005 | title = Climate: How unusual is today's solar activity? (Reply) | journal = Nature | pages = E4-E5 | url = http://cc.oulu.fi/%7Eusoskin/personal/sola_nature05.pdf
  • Sowers, T (2006). "Late Quaternary Atmospheric CH4 Isotope Record Suggests Marine Clathrates Are Stable". Science 311: 838–40.
  • Svensmark, H; et al. (2007). "Experimental evidence for the role of ions in particle nucleation under atmospheric conditions". Proc R Soc A 463: 385–96.

(online version requires registration)

  • Walter, KM; et al. (2006). "Methane bubbling from Siberian thaw lakes as a positive feedback to climate warming". Nature 443: 71–75.


  • http://www.aps.org/units/fps/newsletters/200807/monckton.cfm Climate Sensitivity Reconsidered], Christopher Monckton of Brenchley, Forum on Physics & Society of the American Physical Society, July 2008. Here, Christopher Monckton, a critic of anthropogenic causes of global warming, takes issue with the 2007 IPCC report. Monckton is a British journalist and was assisted during the preparation of his APS Forum contribution by physicists, meteorologists and others at Harvard University and Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Imperial College (London, England), St. Andrews University (Scotland) and other universities. The major point made by Monckton is that the IPCC's estimated climate sensitivity of 3.26 °C is much too high. Using the same methodology and the same physical effect parameters as did the IPCC, but estimating his own values of those parameters, Monckton obtains a climate sensitivity of 0.58 °C. In other words, Monckton predicts that when the atmospheric CO2 concentration reaches 556 ppm (expected later this century), the Earth's surface temperature will be only 0.58 °C higher than it was in 1750.Monckton documents and references his calculations in much detail. Although Monckton is a journalist, and his calculations include numerous arbitrary assumptions (such as reducing widely accepted values of certain parameters by an assumed factor of three), his work should not be discounted simply because it appeared only in the APS's Forum (that is not peer-reviewed). Monckton's short article summarizes ideas current among the climate skeptics.